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  • Writer's pictureMichael Sales

Appendix I: Politics in the Anthropocene

AZ-6 Precincts in Pima County

First pass at analyzing with 

Particular Attention to Ones Where Fewer than

50% of the Eligible Voters Participated

Precinct Number

Turnout

Ciscomani Votes

Engel Votes

Registered & didn’t vote (approx.)

Yes on Prop 309

No on Prop 309

Comments

114

20%

154

125

1,350

143

129

Looks like the worst performing precinct in Pima County. These people need help!

253

38%

32

79

270




150

39%

152

181

500

149

168


54

39%

407

740

1,800



Almost 2:1 for Engel in this poorly performing district. Worthy of a lot of attention

72

43%

504

1552

2,800



Poorly performing district. Lots of Sound Democracy votes not cast

123

44%

972

1,352

3,000



A very poor performing precinct with lots of sound democracy votes not cast

67

45%

380

1,180

2,000



Poorly performing district. Lots of Sound Democracy votes not cast

266

45%

74

24

120

65

35


57

46%

511

1,553

2,550



A poor performing precinct that went strongly for Engel. Lots of left out votes. Good focus

87

46%

98

267

450



A solid sound democracy precinct where there could have been a significantly higher turnout. Not a lot of votes, but the ones that are there are Sound Democracy. Prop 309 defeated by 2:1

91

50%

487

1,331

1,900



Lots of Sound Democracy voters didn't show up

116

50%

1,483

1,995

3,600



Lots of sound Democracy voters didn't show up

129

50%

518

712

1,300



Relatively poor performing precinct. More votes would have likely trended toward sound democracy outcomes

58

52%

125

487

550



Not a huge number of votes, but any additional are likely to vote sound democracy

124

52%

444

518

900

421

508

Contested precinct. Lots of votes not cast

75

54%

363

1,609

1,600



Strongly for Engel. Lots of Sound Democracy votes that didn't get cast.

40

55%

948

913

1,500

873

932

Hotly contested. More sound democracy votes are to be found there. 

107

55%

640

1,441

1,750



Lots of Sound Democracy voters didn't show up

15

56%

513

457

850

467

456

A slightly smaller percentage of Ciscomani voters voted for prop 309 than Engel voters who voted against it. A hotly contested precinct worthy of investing energy

90

56%

550

481

815



More Sound Democracy votes are out there

100

56%

544

1,201

1,400



Lots of Sound Democracy voters didn't show up

55

57%

314

595

700



Strongly for Engel. More sound democracy votes here. 

94

57%

280

1,149

1,100



Lots of Sound Democracy voters didn't show up

6

58%

1,639

1,221

2,000

1,512

1,234

More votes would probably mean more for rightist thinking

24

58%






Strongly for Ciscomani; Not a reason to focus attention on this precinct 

30

58%

821

1,295

1,550



Strong turnout for Engel; worthy of some attention

81

58%

400

347

550

361

358

The 3 vote spread between pro and con Prop 309 indicates that there are more Sound Democracy votes to be had

85

58%

230

457

500



A solid sound democracy district where there could have been a higher turnout

95

58%

491

411

650

468

419

Hotly contested precinct

108

58%

844

1,900

2,000



Lots of votes and lots of sound democracy voters didn't show up

49

59%

598

513

800

591

496

Hotly contested. Sound democracy voters can be found here

79

59%

1,183

944

1,500

1,102

956

Closely contested. Not clear what the result would look like if more people voted. 

89

59%

554

1,460




More Sound Democracy votes are out there in this energized precinct

69

60%

1,191

1,771

1,900



Decent odds that additional voters will be for Strong Democracy

13

61%

957

1,107

1,400

875

1,108

Virtually ALL Engel voters said no to Prop 309. His turnout would mean more sound democracy.

14

61%

1,309

1,247

1,700

1,229

1,210

An extremely hotly contested precinct.

93

62%

372

1,174

950



Higher turnout would have meant more sound democracy voters

9

63%

766

1,117

1,100

724

1,100

More votes would probably have come from people like minded to us

109

63%

2,664

1,850




Not clear that more votes would've been so democracy voters

128

63%

722

892

950



More votes would have probably meant more votes for sound democracy

12

67%

1,818

1,984

900

1,737

1,832

More votes would have meant more votes for sound democracy

39

68%

1,375

1,189

1,200

1,233

1,267

Hotly contested. No on Prop 309 did better than Engel. Sound democracy votes are there.

103

68%

224

685

420



Higher turnout would have meant more sound democracy voters

104

68%

1,467

1,563

1,450

1,347

1,557

Hotly contested precinct. People here would likely be good informants

118

68%

823

1,319

1,150




115

70%

1,885

1,767

1,600

1,790

1,717

Hotly contested

126

70%

613

595

540

550

617

Hotly contested. Not a lot of votes. Why did "No" on Prop 309 run ahead of Engel?

88

71%

895

1,388

930



A solid Sound Democracy precinct. 

99

71%

490

1,252

500



More Sound Democracy people could have showed up

112

74%

953

1,400

850



More voters would like be sound democracy types

29

75%






Strong turnout for Engel; worthy of some attention

35

75%






Not a lot of votes here, but hotly contested. My hunch is that these are well informed voters with some strong influencers living in this precinct

77

75%

1,098

968

700

1,014

974

Hotly contested. Went for Ciscomani. The fact that the precinct was a "Yes" for 309 means that some of the votes not cast would have gone for voter suppression/not Sound Democracy

125

75%

687

1,122




Not a lot of votes, but the ones there are trending toward sound democracy

46

76%






Strong, for Ciscomani. Unlikely to turn out more sound democracy voters.

56

76%

628

1,328

620



Strongly for Engel. More sound democracy votes here. 

61

76%

633

998

500



Strongly for Engel. 2:1 odds that every additional voter will be sound democracy

106

77%

518

639

350



The people in this precinct take voting seriously!

84

78%

2,895

2,709

1,550

2,771

2,624

Hotly contested precinct

121

78%

308

394

200



Not a lot of voters, but they are definitely engaged

127

79%

2,642

2,153

1,300

2,422

2,221

Lots of engaged voters. If more of them voted, they might well have not been strong democracy types.

74

81%

896

1,029

450



81% is a very high turnout level. Quite possible that there are influencers here. Sound democracy in the majority



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